Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000156 0.000173 0.000191 0.000212 0.000235 0.000261 0.000291
2025-08-10 0.000123 0.000147 0.000174 0.000209 0.000251 0.000302 0.000366
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000130 0.000163 0.000207 0.000265 0.000338 0.000440
2025-08-24 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153 0.000204 0.000274 0.000367 0.000505
2025-08-31 0.000077 0.000105 0.000142 0.000197 0.000276 0.000387 0.000558
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000098 0.000138 0.000197 0.000287 0.000419 0.000632
2025-09-14 0.000065 0.000094 0.000135 0.000201 0.000302 0.000458 0.000721
2025-09-21 0.000059 0.000087 0.000129 0.000197 0.000306 0.000480 0.000784
2025-09-28 0.000053 0.000080 0.000121 0.000189 0.000303 0.000489 0.000828
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000077 0.000119 0.000192 0.000316 0.000526 0.000924
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000196 0.000333 0.000571 0.001039
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000195 0.000339 0.000597 0.001122
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000069 0.000114 0.000197 0.000353 0.000642 0.001251
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000065 0.000110 0.000195 0.000357 0.000670 0.001351
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000062 0.000107 0.000193 0.000364 0.000702 0.001467
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000058 0.000103 0.000190 0.000367 0.000727 0.001568
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000055 0.000097 0.000184 0.000363 0.000737 0.001638
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000053 0.000095 0.000184 0.000372 0.000776 0.001783
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000187 0.000388 0.000831 0.001976
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000049 0.000092 0.000184 0.000388 0.000853 0.002088
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000046 0.000087 0.000177 0.000381 0.000854 0.002148
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000045 0.000086 0.000179 0.000395 0.000908 0.002357
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000183 0.000413 0.000976 0.002619